Popular support for One Nation surges, draws level with Coalition; Shift in US naval strategy signals progress for AUKUS submarines

One Nation’s primary vote continues to surge in the polls, and has now drawn level with the Coalition, the most recent Resolve Political Monitor polling shows.

In the first published poll since Taylor deposed Ley as leader, support for One Nation has surged to 23 per cent of the primary vote – although voters appear willing to give Taylor an opportunity to turn things around, backing the Coalition under Taylor by three more percentage points than under Ley.

Asked how they would vote in either of two scenarios – one with Ley leading the Coalition and Taylor as leader in the other – voters handed One Nation 25 per cent of the primary vote to Ley’s 20 per cent, whereas One Nation’s vote and that of a Taylor-led Coalition were even at 23 per cent.

In either case, the Coalition’s support has continued to slide from 28 per cent in January to another record low, while One Nation has surged from 18 per cent last month. Labor, meanwhile, regained some ground against a Taylor-led opposition to earn 32 per cent of the primary vote.